Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.216814 0.246561 0.278450 0.315126 0.356089 0.400376 0.451826
2025-11-02 0.179836 0.220161 0.266237 0.322586 0.389437 0.466000 0.560103
2025-11-09 0.148732 0.194248 0.249222 0.320099 0.408605 0.514984 0.651984
2025-11-16 0.125883 0.174257 0.235655 0.318596 0.426906 0.562642 0.744584
2025-11-23 0.108062 0.157780 0.223796 0.316807 0.443220 0.607601 0.835808
2025-11-30 0.096767 0.148255 0.219449 0.323582 0.470186 0.667081 0.948885
2025-12-07 0.085464 0.137081 0.211245 0.323607 0.487076 0.713283 1.046237
2025-12-14 0.076053 0.127382 0.203840 0.323535 0.503047 0.758370 1.143920
2025-12-21 0.068293 0.119176 0.197588 0.324170 0.519449 0.804336 1.244764
2025-12-28 0.062618 0.113542 0.194539 0.329053 0.542024 0.859997 1.362187
2026-01-04 0.058333 0.109653 0.193727 0.337083 0.569556 0.924114 1.495136
2026-01-11 0.053547 0.104321 0.189969 0.339843 0.588645 0.976045 1.611876
2026-01-18 0.049782 0.100535 0.188685 0.346964 0.615877 1.043203 1.757688
2026-01-25 0.046860 0.097946 0.189179 0.357042 0.648531 1.120667 1.923861
2026-02-01 0.042457 0.092039 0.183232 0.355376 0.661195 1.166477 2.041616
2026-02-08 0.038634 0.086791 0.177933 0.354301 0.674571 1.213885 2.164082
2026-02-15 0.035159 0.081811 0.172619 0.352647 0.686602 1.259397 2.285349
2026-02-22 0.033145 0.079610 0.172367 0.360281 0.715534 1.334862 2.460415
2026-03-01 0.030484 0.075700 0.168376 0.360403 0.730626 1.386987 2.597816
2026-03-08 0.028071 0.072035 0.164509 0.360376 0.745276 1.438844 2.736904
2026-03-15 0.025962 0.068794 0.161190 0.361104 0.761249 1.493642 2.883435
2026-03-22 0.024455 0.066777 0.160242 0.366501 0.786415 1.566113 3.064540
2026-03-29 0.023352 0.065596 0.160967 0.375354 0.818776 1.653174 3.275641